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Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.Youhao Group established a new company of commodity purchasing center. According to the enterprise search APP, Shihezi Youhao Commodity Purchasing Center Co., Ltd. was recently established, with the legal representative of Yang Weihong and the registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: publication retail; Drug retail; Liquor business; Internet sales of food; The third kind of medical device management, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Friendship Group.Zhaochi Co., Ltd. invested in the business of optical communication equipment in the newly established technology company. According to the enterprise investigation APP, recently, Shanghai Jiashibai Technology Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of Gu Wei and the registered capital of 20 million yuan. Its business scope includes: optical communication equipment manufacturing; Sales of optical communication equipment; Manufacturing of digital video monitoring system; Digital video monitoring system sales, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Shenzhen Zhaochi Digital Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Zhaochi Co., Ltd.

Market News: Indonesia's central bank has made triple intervention to maintain market confidence in the Indonesian rupiah.South Korea's finance minister held a conference call with three major rating companies to try to dispel the concerns caused by political turmoil, and South Korea's finance minister held a conference call with the heads of sovereign ratings of three major credit rating companies to try to dispel the concerns caused by political turmoil in South Korea. According to the announcement issued by South Korea's Ministry of Finance on Friday, Finance Minister Cui Xiangmu held a conference call with S&P, Moody's and Fitch, telling them that major domestic institutions are operating normally, and said that the previous two presidential impeachments had limited impact on the economy, suggesting that the development of the situation would not have an impact on South Korea's economic activities. South Korea currently receives Moody's Aa2 rating, Standard & Poor's AA rating and Fitch's AA- rating. The rating outlook of the three major rating agencies for South Korea is "stable".The Indonesian rupee fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since early August, falling by 0.4% in the day.

State Power Investment Corporation set up an economic and technological research and consulting company with AI software development business. According to the enterprise search APP, recently, State Power Investment Corporation Economic and Technological Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. was established, with the legal representative of He Yongjian and the registered capital of 10 million yuan. Its business scope includes: artificial intelligence application software development; Information system integration service; Industrial Internet data service; Social and economic consulting services, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by State Power Investment Group Co., Ltd.Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. On December 13th, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen Luckin Coffee reached a strategic cooperation alliance. This cooperation indicates that the two sides will jointly explore a new integration mode of track space and coffee retail. According to the agreement, Shenzhen Railway Commercial Co., Ltd. will make full use of the development and operation experience of different types of commercial projects such as Shenzhen subway station, station city complex and complex, and cooperate with Shenzhen Luckin Coffee in depth, and set up at least 50 stores in the commercial space of Shenzhen subway.Treasury futures closed in early trading, with 30-year main contracts up 0.74%, 10-year main contracts up 0.41%, 5-year main contracts up 0.28% and 2-year main contracts up 0.09%.